Washington – 09.06.2026 : The 2026 FIFA World Cup is already casting its shadow. From June 11 to July 19, 48 nations will compete in the United States, Canada, and Mexico for the coveted title. Who are the favorites and which teams could surprise in this expanded tournament? An overview of the main nations and their chances.
Spain: the undisputed favorites
Spain, after winning the 2024 European Championship and an impressive streak of 31 official undefeated matches, is considered one of the top favorites. With a title probability of about 16.12%, players like Rodri, Lamine Yamal, and Pedri will try to confirm this success.
France: World Cup runner-up with a star-studded team
France, finalist of the 2022 World Cup, follows with a probability of about 12.67%. The “Les Bleus” still have strong offensive forces like Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, capable of making a difference.
England: seeking the first title since 1966
England has a title chance of 11.3%. The “Three Lions” want to celebrate their first World Cup victory since 1966. Key players like Jude Bellingham and Bukayo Saka are in the spotlight and could make the difference.
Brazil and Argentina: the South American giants
Brazil and Argentina rank among the main South American challengers, each with about a 10% probability. Argentina, reigning champion in 2022, hopes to repeat the feat under the leadership of Lionel Messi.
Portugal: experience and young talents
Portugal, with about 9.5% chances, relies on Cristiano Ronaldo’s experience combined with young promising players like João Félix. The team wants to build on its recent successes.
Germany: aiming for the fifth star
Germany, with an estimated probability of 8%, aims for its fifth World Cup title. Players like Joshua Kimmich and Kai Havertz should help the “Mannschaft” return among the favorites.
Outsiders with potential
Among the outsiders likely to surprise are the Netherlands (6%), Norway (4%), and Belgium (3%). Norway, led by Erling Haaland, is especially seen as a possible sensation.
Outlook
The 2026 World Cup promises exciting matches and unexpected twists. Favorites like Spain, France, and England will be in the spotlight, but South American rivals and ambitious outsiders add an extra dimension to this tournament expanded to 48 teams. On July 19, we will know which team will lift the trophy in the United States, Canada, or Mexico.